Alan Jones - Today Show Editorial
PETROL - 21 September 2005
Yesterday I said something about petrol prices and argued that, most probably, we weren't being told the truth about petrol prices and why we should be paying what we are paying.
I said, "No government should responsibly encourage petrol guzzling."
Well, when I came off air, a piece lobbed on my desk by Robert Samuelson, who is a member of the Washington Post Writers' Group.
He opened by saying bluntly, "What the United States needs is a petrol price of $4 to $5 a gallon."
Now, America currently pay $2.80 a gallon, or 95 cents a litre.
He was arguing that what America needs most is "a steadily rising oil tax."
And he said, "Coupled with stricter fuel economy standards, higher pump prices should push reluctant auto companies and American drivers away from today's gas guzzlers. That should be American policy."
He said, "The deafening silence on this crucial subject from the White House, Congress and the media is a sorry indicator of national short-sightedness."
He said, "Katrina's message is clear. America is vulnerable to any major oil cut off."
I was arguing yesterday that this is the message WE must hear.
Samuelson argued, "Two thirds of the world's proven oil reserves lie around the Persian Gulf. The countries there, led by Saudia Arabia, now provide about a quarter of today's oil supply. The flow could be interrupted at any time for many reasons - terrorism, war, domestic upheaval or deliberate cuts."
But then he said, "Many other oil exporters are similarly unreliable - Russia, the number two exporter, Venezuela, the number 5, or Nigeria, the number 8."
He said, "A prudent society would respond to this unavoidable insecurity."
Now remember I said yesterday that price is a barometer of scarcity or that insecurity.
America has 225 million vehicles on the roads.
Samuelson said, "From 2003 to 2025, the number of vehicles may grow by 50%."
He said, "The upshot is, to keep total petrol consumption constant, average fuel efficiency would have to improve by roughly 50%."
Elsewhere he argued that the traditional US car companies, General Motors, Ford and Chrysler are the least prepared for change.
He said, "They tied their fortunes to the biggest 4WDs and pick-ups, hence the need for a stiff oil tax."
Samuelson said, "The US government needs to foster a market for fuel efficiency. One way or another, America should know the era of cheap petrol is over."
Well that, too, is our message.
As I said yesterday, by world standards, we have had it pretty good.
And even now, our petrol price is still lower than most developed countries.
We need to drive less, drive more economically, share private transport and make better use of what public transport there is.
We currently spend $15 billion on imported crude oil and refined petroleum products.
17% of our overall consumption is imports and, by 2020, it's said the figure will rise to 46%.
I call that fairly vulnerable.
As one writer here put it yesterday, "Whenever it begins losing domestic, political or economic arguments, the Howard government flicks the switch to terrorism. But around the world, experts are beginning to ask whether energy insecurity is the greater threat of the 21st century."
It might be time we took note.
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